The 41st Spirit Awards happen today. Seven film experts made their predictions. Here’s what you need to know .
1) The Front-Runners
“Train Dreams” leads Best Feature with four votes, beating “Sorry, Baby” by one . Rose Byrne is the unanimous Best Lead Performance choice for “If I Had Legs I’d Kick You” .
2) The Clean Sweeps
Eva Victor’s “Sorry, Baby” screenplay got every vote despite losing Best Feature . “The Secret Agent” dominated Best International Film with complete agreement .
3) The TV Surprise
“Adolescence” swept Best New Scripted Series predictions . Noah Wyle leads the TV performance race for “The Pitt” with five votes .
4) The Wild Cards
Musician SZA earned breakthrough performance votes for “One of Them Days” . “Lurker” leads Best First Feature with six out of seven votes .
5) When to Watch
Winners announce today, February 15, 2026, honoring 2025’s independent films .
What to watch next: Follow live updates as the Spirit Awards ceremony unfolds this evening.
Sources: Next Best Picture predictions
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