The 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards announce winners today, and the Next Best Picture team has released their predictions across 23 categories .
Seven industry critics favor “Train Dreams” for Best Feature, with four votes placing it ahead of “Sorry, Baby” . Rose Byrne in “If I Had Legs I’d Kick You” earned unanimous support for Best Lead Performance .

Eva Victor’s “Sorry, Baby” secured all votes for Best Screenplay despite mixed support in the Best Feature race . The predictions reflect a competitive independent film landscape from 2025, with “Lurker” leading Best First Feature with six votes .
Adolpho Veloso’s cinematography in “Train Dreams” and “The Secret Agent” for Best International Film both received complete consensus from all seven predictors .
What to watch next: The ceremony takes place Sunday, February 15, 2026, honoring independent cinema achievements from the past year.
Sources: Next Best Picture prediction article

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